Signals
Predictions
Ranked probability estimates for every recent Trump mention or disclosed trade. Each row is Claude's calibrated 7-day up-probability, anchored to the heuristic base rate. Filter by direction, confidence, or horizon. Paid accounts can export CSV for downstream analysis. Information only — not investment advice.
Direction:
Horizon:
Min confidence:
| Ticker | Signal | P(up 7d) | Heuristic | Conf | Last price | 30d % | Source | Mention |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Signal logic: prob ≥ 60% = buy, ≤ 40% = sell, 40–60% = neutral. All probabilities are Wilson-lower-bound base rates + Claude calibration, NOT forecasts.